|
1
|
- V. Froelicher, MD
- Professor of Medicine
- Stanford University
- VA Palo Alto HCS
|
|
2
|
- Does this patient have or not have Coronary Disease?
- Is this patient going to experience a Cardiac Event?
- Is an invasive intervention appropriate?
|
|
3
|
- Classic criteria of one mm ST depression has low sensitivity and hi
specificity
- Other more expensive modalities appear to have better discriminatory
characteristics
- Exercise ST depression has not been prognostic in all studies
|
|
4
|
- Functional capacity is the strongest predictor of prognosis and Heart
rate recovery adds to it.
- Maximal Heart rate is an important part of diagnostic scores
- We should stop worshipping ST
segments and cardiac cath for prognostic and diagnostic assessments.
|
|
5
|
|
|
6
|
- Based on mathematical models or equations that can be simplified as
scores
- They increase accuracy by enhancing the odds that any decision will be
correct (a reliable second opinion)
|
|
7
|
- Predicting Outcomes
- Follow up required (time, complete)
- Endpoint Limitations (Death, CABG)
- No Natural History
- Predicting Angiographic Findings
- Instant Epidemiology
- Limitations of Angiography
- Sub-ischemic Lesions cause events
|
|
8
|
- Limiting the population Challenge by choosing extremes
- Failure to reduce Work up bias
- Use of Heart rate targets
- Inclusion of MI patients
- Use of Surrogates
|
|
9
|
- Limited Challenge and work up
bias
- Incomplete Follow up
- Failure to Censor
- Using Misleading Endpoints
|
|
10
|
- Consecutive patients presenting
with the problem for evaluation
- Limit work up bias
- Avoid limited challenge
|
|
11
|
|
|
12
|
- Failure to remove patients with interventions results in prediction of
outcome after application of standard therapies
- Failure to use infarct-free survival or cardiovascular death as outcome
negates development of strategies or scores for treatment of CAD
- Does not allow for prediction of who should receive therapies or
interventions
|
|
13
|
|
|
14
|
- Comparison of the sickest to the most well exaggerates the
discriminatory value
- The well have high heart rates , the sick have low maximal HRs
|
|
15
|
|
|
16
|
|
|
17
|
|
|
18
|
|